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Interpretation of the macroeco
Release date: [2021/12/20]  Read total of [253] times

Since 2021, the global economy has gradually recovered in the complexity of the epidemic cycle of various countries. It presents the fluctuations of "starting in the first quarter, the second quarter of strong recovery, the third quarter of the fall", into the fourth quarter, economic The rise in risk increases, and the weak situation in the demand is still obvious. In November, JP Morgan Global Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) was 54.2, which continued its trend since March, the new order index and output index were 53.3 and 52.6, respectively, and fell separately from May high. 4 and 3 percentage points. In November, the OECD leading index is 100.7, but the consumer confidence index is only 99.3, and since August has continued to contraction intervals. It is dragged by the production supply of automobiles and semiconductors and other key industries. The global trade trade in the fourth quarter has slowed significantly, and the WTO Cargo Trade Barometer Index is reduced by 10.9 percentage points from the third quarter 110.4 to 99.5, lower than the trend level. The price of bulk commodities is still in the rising interval. November IMF global commodity price index reached 183.8, and it increased by 58.4 points from the end of 2020 to achieve the highest level since 2013.

my country's macroeconomic remains recovered, but under the influence of the demand for domestic and foreign demand, the production cost is raised, the local epidemic situation is increased. The National Bureau of Statistics and Customs Data show that the total retail sales of my country's social consumer goods, total exports and fixed assets investment completed increased by 13.7%, 31.1%, and 5.2% respectively, and the growth rate is compared to the first three quarters. Substitot 2.7, 1.9 and 2.1 percentage points. Among them, in the field of consumption, online consumption is maintained rapidly, "Double Eleven" shopping festival "extremely simple package" and other green low-carbon consumption trends have gradually appeared, the basic life and some upgraded commodities in goods retail have the growth rate Accelerated; in the field of investment, the increase in investment in private fixed assets is high, manufacturing investment is better, and the proportion of technical transformation investment accounts for manufacturing investment. From January to October, the company's industrial increased value and total profit increased by 10.9% and 42.2% respectively, and the growth rate slowed down 0.9 and 2.5 percentage points in the first three quarters. Under the national policy measures to strengthen energy supply guarantees, stabilize market prices and other policy measures, the production and operation of manufacturing production and operation activities, November manufacturing procurement manager index (PMI) is 50.1, and it rebounded by 0.9 percentage points from October.

The textile industry stably recovered, except for investment, the scale of the remaining major economic operations increased more than the epidemic, domestic sales in the "Double Eleven" Promotional Promotion and other Pixabays, the export scale creates a new high. However, the industry has run "pre-high and low low low" throughout the year, the product price is not smooth to terminal transmission, and the increase in comprehensive manufacturing costs is difficult to solve in the short term, and the impact of an orderly power supply constant on industry supplies still exists. . Recently, it is affected by the factors of new crown viruses, sales from the short season, the market market has begun to weaken, cotton, polyester, yarn, gray cloth price is low, and the product of finished products has risen. Before the end of the year, textile companies were cut into stock, and the funds were returned to the mainstream trend, further exacerbated the price down trend. The company is expected to be prudential to the market, the market is weak, or will continue until the spring season in the spring of 2022.